BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Huawang Technology: Zhang Yancheng, the director, plans to reduce the company's shares by no more than 0.3443%. Huawang Technology announced that Zhang Yancheng, the company's director and senior manager, plans to reduce the company's shares by no more than 1.6 million shares through centralized bidding on the Shanghai Stock Exchange within three months after the announcement date, accounting for 0.3443% of the company's total share capital. The reduction price will be determined according to the market price. Zhang Yancheng currently holds 6,671,700 shares of the company, accounting for 1.4357% of the company's total share capital.Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture: It is estimated that Ukraine's grain output will be close to 55 million tons in 2024, compared with the previous estimate of 54 million tons. It is estimated that Ukraine's grain exports in 2024/25 may include 16.2 million tons of wheat, 20.5 million tons of corn and 2.9 million tons of barley. It is estimated that Ukraine's total grain export in 2024/25 will be 40.3 million tons, compared with 51 million tons in 2023/24.
Turkish President Erdogan met with US Secretary of State Blinken in Ankara.IBM and Illinois will establish a national quantum algorithm center with universities and industries in Chicago. On December 12th, local time, IBM and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker announced that they would cooperate to establish a new national quantum algorithm center in the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park (IQMP) in Chicago. The center is jointly supported by IBM and other quantum computing pioneers, including the University of Chicago and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and will be supported by IBM's next-generation quantum computer, IBM Quantum System Two, which the company plans to deploy in Chicago next year.Institution: The European Central Bank is paying attention to the weakness of the euro. The European Central Bank said yesterday that inflation is slowing down and hinted that it will cut interest rates again. However, Joost Van Leenders, an analyst at Van Lanschot kemen, said in a report that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the recent weakness of the euro. As the import price rises, a weak currency may push up inflation. The senior investment strategist said that since the current deposit interest rate in the euro zone is 3% and the neutral interest rate is around 2%, the European Central Bank will cut interest rates at least four times. However, European Central Bank President Lagarde stressed that the inflation risk is two-sided.
China Football Association: All the three-level professional leagues in 2024 have achieved the expected goals. At the media briefing held on the 13th, Yang Xu, vice chairman of China Football Association, gave a briefing on the overall situation of the three-level professional leagues in 2024. Yang Xu said that all the events in the Super League, China A and China B have achieved the expected goals, the technical and tactical level has been steadily improved, the competition discipline has been significantly improved, and the ball market and attention have continued to improve. Yang Xu said that in 2024, the competitive level of the league has improved significantly. Among them, the core technical data such as the average net game time, average running distance, high-intensity running distance and total goals in the Super League are higher than those in the 2023 season and the 2019 season before the epidemic, and the quality of the league has rebounded in an all-round way. In addition, the average playing time and scoring rate of U21 players in the third-level professional league have been significantly improved. (Xinhua News Agency)Apple is said to start producing a key wireless chip currently provided by Broadcom next year. Apple's ambition to use self-developed components on its equipment will include switching to Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection chips developed by itself from next year, which will replace some components currently provided by Broadcom. According to informed sources, this chip code-named Proxima has been developed for several years, and now it is planned to start the first batch of production in 2025. Like other self-developed chips of Apple, Proxima will be produced by its partner TSMC. This plan is independent of Apple's much-anticipated plan to replace the Qualcomm wireless modem, but the two parts will eventually work together. People familiar with the matter said that Apple's goal is to develop an end-to-end wireless solution that is tightly integrated with other components and more energy-efficient.Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14